Kicker Equalized Value Chart

The EV (Equalized Value) is a normalized measure of each players weekly ranking. If a kicker scored 7 FPs (fantasy points) in week 10 and was “the” K 1, but would not have been “the” K 1 any other week and, instead, would have been “the” K 15 most weeks – why should they get full credit for being “the” K 1? At least when projecting forward. Obviously, that result should not be the expectation.

 

I took the normal range of “the” K 1, 6, 12, 18, 24 and 30 from weeks 1 through 17 – I then assigned a point value to each range, went through each weeks actual FPs scored (for each player) and (1) color coded them, (2) assigned the respective point total, (3) averaged out each players points to get their “EV”.

 

If a player scored 1.5 standard deviations above “the” K 1 they received a 3pt boost, and 2 standard deviations above received a 6pt boost. Thus, “boom” weeks are both limited and capped as to how much impact they have on the EV.

 

If a player’s score fell between two ranges or wasn’t within either range, they were awarded the points for the, relevant, “both / neither” – seen in the Master Key of the kicker’s EV chart below.

 

In turn the EV is color coded to represent that the player averaged being “the” K-x, over the season. For example:

 

Greg Joseph’s weekly FPs scored, on average, was “the” K 15… more technically, in that range.

 

This gives us a truer look at what a player truly provided for their fantasy squads, over the season. Of note is that the EV is weighted towards rewarding consistency over boom/bust; it doesn’t allow a massive performance to offset a poor performance – which can skew the perception of how good a player was.

 

The EV smooths out the data. As an extreme example of what it does, let’s take Player A and Player B; over a three week period:

 

Player A: Scores 60, 0, 0 FPs

Player B: Scores 20, 20, 20 FPs

 

In both cases the players averaged 20 FPs but, they got there in two drastically different ways. If we apply the EV points system…

 

Player A = 42 EV (42, 0, 0)

Player B = 72 EV (24, 24, 24)

In the chart below you see the Master Key which shows, for each range of K weekly finishes (“the” K 1, 6, 12 etc.):

  • The color connected to each respective range
  • The EV points awarded for each range / between ranges (doesn’t include the potential “boom” points mentioned above)

EV Scores  –  Players & their teams  – FPs scored each week (color coded via the key)  –  their real average weekly FPs scored  –  Their “rank” based on the normalized totals used for color coordinating the weekly FPs  –  player’s standard deviations for both their “real”/actual FPs scored and their EV scores.

 

 

At the bottom of the EV chart is three % breakdowns of K rankings  –  via their EV, seasonal output and avg FPs scored  –  for both the “top 30” and the “top 18”. Making for six % breakdowns. The # of players that qualified for each breakdown is under “count” and, lastly, the averages for each standard deviation are provided for each group.